Economic activity indexes are indexes which attempt to provide an overall look at the state of the economy.

Last Updated: Jan 10 2025, 10:05 EST Next Release: Feb 12 2025, 10:00 EST

The Business Formation Statistics provide timely and high frequency information on new business applications and formations in the United States.

Major Business Formation Statistics Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 28 2024, 08:31 EST Next Release: Feb 27 2025, 08:30 EST

The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account.

Major Canada Balance of International Payments Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Canada Balance of Taxes Q3 2024 3.818B CAD -0.88%
Canada Balance on Commercial Services Q3 2024 1.894B CAD -23.44%
Canada Balance on Compensation of Employees Q3 2024 -3.058B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods Q3 2024 -3.622B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods and Services Q3 2024 -3.134B CAD --
Canada Balance on Government Services Q3 2024 -58.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Investment Income Q3 2024 4.226B CAD 160.7%
Canada Balance on Primary Income Q3 2024 1.168B CAD --
Canada Balance on Services Q3 2024 488.00M CAD -75.04%
Canada Balance on Transportation Q3 2024 -3.601B CAD --
Canada Balance on Travel Q3 2024 2.253B CAD -30.29%
Canada Current Account Balance Q3 2024 -3.229B CAD --
Last Updated: Jan 27 2025, 08:36 EST Next Release: Feb 24 2025, 08:30 EST

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Major Chicago Fed National Activity Report Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 23 2025, 10:00 EST Next Release: Feb 25 2025, 10:00 EST

The Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions (CFSEC) is a survey of organizations located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District, which is served by the Chicago Fed. The Chicago Fed produces diffusion indexes based on the quantitative questions in the survey.

Major Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 27 2025, 00:03 EST Next Release: Feb 7 2025, 00:00 EST

The Index of Business Conditions are summary measures for aggregate economic activity. They are designed to be a useful tool for analyzing current conditions, and for forecasting future economic conditions.

Major ESRI Index of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 30 2025, 10:13 EST Next Release: Feb 20 2025, 10:00 EST

The European Economic Sentiment Indicator is a part of the business and consumer surveys conducted by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs for different sectors of the economies in the European Union and in the applicant countries.

Major European Economic Sentiment Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Belgium Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 93.20 4.72%
Czech Republic Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 95.90 -0.42%
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Indicator Jan 2025 -14.20 --
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 95.30 1.60%
Eurozone Industry Confidence Indicator Jan 2025 -12.90 --
France Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 96.20 3.55%
Germany Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 88.10 1.38%
Greece Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 108.60 2.07%
Italy Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 100.20 1.83%
Netherlands Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 99.60 -0.80%
Poland Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 97.10 -2.02%
Portugal Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 107.20 0.19%
Spain Economic Sentiment Indicator Jan 2025 104.40 1.46%
Last Updated: Jan 13 2025, 06:00 EST Next Release: --

The OECD system of composite leading indicators was developed in the 1970’s to give early signals of turning points of economic activity. This information is of prime importance for economists, businesses and policy makers to enable timely analysis of the current and short-term economic situation.

Major OECD Composite Leading Indicators Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Composite Leading Indicator: Canada Nov 2024 100.46 0.28%
Composite Leading Indicator: China Nov 2024 100.09 0.16%
Composite Leading Indicator: France Nov 2024 99.48 0.05%
Composite Leading Indicator: G20 Nov 2024 100.41 0.10%
Composite Leading Indicator: Germany Dec 2024 100.11 -0.07%
Composite Leading Indicator: Italy Nov 2024 100.40 0.20%
Composite Leading Indicator: Japan Nov 2024 100.06 -0.01%
Composite Leading Indicator: Spain Dec 2024 100.39 0.18%
Composite Leading Indicator: United Kingdom Dec 2024 101.54 -0.05%
Composite Leading Indicator: United States Nov 2024 100.39 0.16%
Last Updated: Dec 22 2024, 10:34 EST Next Release: --

The Office of Economic Analysis provides objective forecasts of the state's economy, revenue, population, corrections population, and Youth Authority population. These forecasts are used by the Governor, the Legislature, state agencies, and the public to achieve their goals.

Major Oregon Economic Forecast Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Oregon Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2034 112.26K USD 0.98%
Oregon Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2034 133.64K 0.26%
Oregon Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2034 126.00K -0.16%
Oregon Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2034 368.03K 0.15%
Oregon Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2034 29.04K -0.01%
Oregon Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2034 102.74K 0.03%
Oregon Government Employment Forecast Q4 2034 311.98K -0.01%
Oregon Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2034 20.88K 0.05%
Oregon Information Employment Forecast Q4 2034 37.53K 0.06%
Oregon Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2034 184.44K -0.14%
Oregon Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2034 58.44K -0.09%
Oregon Personal Income Forecast Q4 2034 497.37B USD 1.06%
Oregon Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2034 1.814M 0.13%
Oregon Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2034 312.35K 0.38%
Oregon Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2034 2.126M 0.11%
Oregon Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2034 365.95K -0.05%
US Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2034 115.73K USD 0.98%
US Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2034 9.504M 0.18%
US Consumer Price Index Forecast Q4 2034 394.95 0.55%
US Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2034 6.864M -0.44%
US Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2034 29.02M 0.18%
US Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2034 3.011M 0.00%
US Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2034 9.401M -0.07%
US GDP Deflator Forecast Q4 2034 158.06 0.57%
US Government Employment Forecast Q4 2034 24.28M 0.07%
US Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2034 1.346M -0.35%
US Industrial Production Forecast Q4 2034 115.26 0.27%
US Information Employment Forecast Q4 2034 2.878M -0.52%
US Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2034 11.34M -0.38%
US Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2034 4.481M -0.28%
US Personal Income Deflator Forecast Q4 2034 152.16 0.50%
US Personal Income Forecast Q4 2034 38.93T USD 1.04%
US Prime Rate Forecast Q4 2034 5.75% 0.01%
US Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2034 140.00M 0.06%
US Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2034 25.72M 0.48%
US Real GDP Forecast Q4 2034 27.97T USD 0.45%
US Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2034 164.28M 0.06%
US Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2034 27.84M -0.12%
Last Updated: Jan 31 2025, 10:02 EST Next Release: Apr 23 2025, 10:00 EDT

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states. The Bank issues a release each month describing recent trends in the state indexes, with special coverage of the three states in the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Coincident Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Coincident Index Dec 2024 142.10 0.72%
Philly Fed New Jersey Coincident Index Dec 2024 140.98 0.19%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Coincident Index Dec 2024 133.62 0.03%
Philly Fed US Coincident Index Dec 2024 146.19 0.32%
Last Updated: Apr 14 2020, 10:01 EDT Next Release: Apr 23 2025, 10:00 EDT

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces leading indexes monthly and are usually released a week after the release of the coincident indexes. The Bank issues a release each month describing the current and future economic situation of the 50 states with special coverage of the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Leading Index Feb 2020 1.91% 37.92%
Philly Fed New Jersey Leading Index Feb 2020 1.19% -4.77%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Leading Index Feb 2020 0.90% 44.66%
Philly Fed US Leading Index Feb 2020 1.72% 9.25%
Last Updated: Jan 21 2025, 08:34 EST Next Release: Feb 25 2025, 08:30 EST

The Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (NBOS) is a monthly survey of nonmanufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Participants indicate the direction of change in overall business activity and in the various measures of activity at their firms, including new orders, sales or revenues, employment, prices, and capital expenditures. Respondents also provide their assessments of general business conditions over the next six months.

Major Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 11 2025, 07:03 EST Next Release: --

Major Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Dec 2024 0.40% -6.98%
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Dec 2024 0.40% 0.00%
Last Updated: Jan 14 2025, 09:47 EST Next Release: Feb 11 2025, 10:00 EST

NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

Major Small Business Optimism Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Small Business Optimism Index Dec 2024 105.10 3.34%
Small Business Outlook: Business Conditions Dec 2024 52.00% 44.44%
Small Business Outlook: Expansion Dec 2024 20.00% 42.86%
Small Business Uncertainty Index Dec 2024 86.00 -12.24%
Last Updated: Nov 15 2024, 10:49 EST Next Release: Feb 14 2025, 10:00 EST

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990.

Major Survey of Professional Forecasters Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 24 2025, 10:02 EST Next Release: --

The Texas Business-Cycle Index is published monthly and calculated using payroll employment, gross state product, and the unemployment rate.

Major Texas Business-Cycle Indexes Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 1 2025, 10:04 EST Next Release: --

The Texas Leading Index provides information on the future of Texas's economy. It is comprised of eight leading indicators which tend to change direction before the overall economy. These indicators include the Texas value of the dollar, the US leading index, real oil price, well permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance, the Texas stock index, help-wanted index, and the average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Texas Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Texas Leading Index Dec 2024 125.86 0.29%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average 2024 127.09 -1.23%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average YoY 2024 -1.23% --
Texas Leading Index Change from Previous Year 2024 -1.05% Chg Yr --
Last Updated: Feb 1 2025, 10:04 EST Next Release: Mar 1 2025, 10:00 EST

US Recession Probabilities (Chauvet and Piger) are the smoothed probabilities of a recession in the US. They are calculated from a dynamic-factor Markov-switching model on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production index, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Dec 2024 0.14% 0.00%
Last Updated: Jan 5 2025, 11:02 EST Next Release: --

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Dec 2025 29.40% -12.41%
Last Updated: Jan 30 2025, 11:33 EST Next Release: Feb 6 2025, 11:30 EST

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Weekly Economic Index Jan 25 2025 2.82 1.08%
Last Updated: Oct 23 2024, 10:48 EDT Next Release: --

The World Economic Outlook from the IMF contains data concerning the debt, lending and borrowing of major nations around the world.

Major World Economic Outlook Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 21 2025, 05:07 EST Next Release: Feb 18 2025, 05:00 EST

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. It is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic for the German economy in six months.

Major ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany Jan 2025 10.30 -34.39%

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