Economic activity indexes are indexes which attempt to provide an overall look at the state of the economy.

Last Updated: Feb 11 2026, 10:06 EST Next Release: Mar 11 2026, 10:00 EDT

The Business Formation Statistics provide timely and high frequency information on new business applications and formations in the United States.

Major Business Formation Statistics Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 26 2026, 08:33 EST Next Release: May 28 2026, 08:30 EDT

The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account.

Major Canada Balance of International Payments Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Canada Balance of Taxes Q4 2025 3.758B CAD -2.74%
Canada Balance on Commercial Services Q4 2025 2.538B CAD -0.20%
Canada Balance on Compensation of Employees Q4 2025 -3.522B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods Q4 2025 -4.542B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods and Services Q4 2025 -3.118B CAD --
Canada Balance on Government Services Q4 2025 -74.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Investment Income Q4 2025 6.829B CAD -16.20%
Canada Balance on Primary Income Q4 2025 3.307B CAD -23.63%
Canada Balance on Services Q4 2025 1.425B CAD -28.50%
Canada Balance on Transportation Q4 2025 -3.755B CAD --
Canada Balance on Travel Q4 2025 2.715B CAD -17.90%
Canada Current Account Balance Q4 2025 -706.00M CAD --
Last Updated: Feb 23 2026, 08:35 EST Next Release: Mar 23 2026, 08:30 EDT

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Major Chicago Fed National Activity Report Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 24 2026, 10:02 EST Next Release: Mar 23 2026, 10:00 EDT

The Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions (CFSEC) is a survey of organizations located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District, which is served by the Chicago Fed. The Chicago Fed produces diffusion indexes based on the quantitative questions in the survey.

Major Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 26 2026, 00:00 EST Next Release: Mar 9 2026, 01:00 EDT

The Index of Business Conditions are summary measures for aggregate economic activity. They are designed to be a useful tool for analyzing current conditions, and for forecasting future economic conditions.

Major ESRI Index of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 26 2026, 10:00 EST Next Release: Mar 23 2026, 11:00 EDT

The European Economic Sentiment Indicator is a part of the business and consumer surveys conducted by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs for different sectors of the economies in the European Union and in the applicant countries.

Major European Economic Sentiment Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Belgium Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 92.10 -0.54%
Czech Republic Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 99.90 -1.58%
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Indicator Feb 2026 -12.20 --
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 98.30 -1.01%
Eurozone Industry Confidence Indicator Feb 2026 -7.10 --
France Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 97.80 -2.78%
Germany Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 93.00 -0.21%
Greece Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 107.70 2.18%
Italy Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 102.00 -0.58%
Netherlands Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 102.30 -0.20%
Poland Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 101.30 -1.84%
Portugal Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 104.30 0.87%
Spain Economic Sentiment Indicator Feb 2026 106.20 0.00%
Last Updated: Feb 6 2026, 06:05 EST Next Release: --

The OECD system of composite leading indicators was developed in the 1970’s to give early signals of turning points of economic activity. This information is of prime importance for economists, businesses and policy makers to enable timely analysis of the current and short-term economic situation.

Major OECD Composite Leading Indicators Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Composite Leading Indicator: Canada Jan 2026 101.87 0.28%
Composite Leading Indicator: China Jan 2026 98.80 -0.03%
Composite Leading Indicator: France Jan 2026 101.53 0.24%
Composite Leading Indicator: G20 Jan 2026 100.60 0.13%
Composite Leading Indicator: Germany Jan 2026 101.40 0.14%
Composite Leading Indicator: Italy Jan 2026 101.74 0.24%
Composite Leading Indicator: Japan Jan 2026 100.50 0.09%
Composite Leading Indicator: Spain Jan 2026 101.92 0.40%
Composite Leading Indicator: United Kingdom Jan 2026 101.07 0.03%
Composite Leading Indicator: United States Jan 2026 100.55 0.14%
Last Updated: Mar 1 2026, 10:30 EST Next Release: --

The Office of Economic Analysis provides objective forecasts of the state's economy, revenue, population, corrections population, and Youth Authority population. These forecasts are used by the Governor, the Legislature, state agencies, and the public to achieve their goals.

Major Oregon Economic Forecast Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Oregon Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2035 121.04K USD 0.96%
Oregon Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2035 126.13K 0.30%
Oregon Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 117.75K -0.26%
Oregon Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 372.43K 0.13%
Oregon Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 27.33K 0.00%
Oregon Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 100.86K 0.09%
Oregon Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 317.47K -0.01%
Oregon Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2035 21.62K 0.27%
Oregon Information Employment Forecast Q4 2035 35.30K -0.64%
Oregon Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 171.47K -0.21%
Oregon Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 53.73K -0.09%
Oregon Personal Income Forecast Q4 2035 516.66B USD 1.06%
Oregon Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 1.788M 0.11%
Oregon Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 302.00K 0.16%
Oregon Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 2.106M 0.09%
Oregon Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 367.87K 0.12%
US Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2035 122.99K USD 0.98%
US Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2035 9.359M 0.23%
US Consumer Price Index Forecast Q4 2035 409.53 0.53%
US Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 6.652M -0.49%
US Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 29.99M 0.03%
US Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 2.755M 0.00%
US Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 9.436M -0.05%
US GDP Deflator Forecast Q4 2035 163.58 0.54%
US Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 24.18M 0.06%
US Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2035 1.242M -0.71%
US Industrial Production Forecast Q4 2035 107.24 0.18%
US Information Employment Forecast Q4 2035 2.762M -0.37%
US Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 11.16M -0.38%
US Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 4.510M -0.23%
US Personal Income Deflator Forecast Q4 2035 158.21 0.49%
US Personal Income Forecast Q4 2035 42.03T USD 1.07%
US Prime Rate Forecast Q4 2035 6.25% 0.00%
US Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 140.87M 0.05%
US Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 26.11M 0.46%
US Real GDP Forecast Q4 2035 28.91T USD 0.50%
US Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 165.04M 0.06%
US Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 27.93M -0.18%
Last Updated: Feb 4 2026, 08:45 EST Next Release: --

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states. The Bank issues a release each month describing recent trends in the state indexes, with special coverage of the three states in the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Coincident Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Coincident Index Dec 2025 139.40 -0.83%
Philly Fed New Jersey Coincident Index Dec 2025 142.82 0.15%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Coincident Index Dec 2025 136.09 0.13%
Philly Fed US Coincident Index Dec 2025 148.73 0.22%
Last Updated: Feb 24 2026, 07:31 EST Next Release: --

The Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (NBOS) is a monthly survey of nonmanufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Participants indicate the direction of change in overall business activity and in the various measures of activity at their firms, including new orders, sales or revenues, employment, prices, and capital expenditures. Respondents also provide their assessments of general business conditions over the next six months.

Major Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey Indicators

Last Updated: Jan 9 2026, 10:04 EST Next Release: Mar 6 2026, 10:00 EST

Major Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Dec 2025 0.35% -18.60%
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Dec 2025 0.35% 0.00%
Last Updated: Feb 10 2026, 11:04 EST Next Release: Mar 10 2026, 10:00 EDT

NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

Major Small Business Optimism Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Small Business Optimism Index Jan 2026 99.30 -0.20%
Small Business Outlook: Business Conditions Jan 2026 21.00% -12.50%
Small Business Outlook: Expansion Jan 2026 15.00% 15.38%
Small Business Uncertainty Index Jan 2026 91.00 8.33%
Last Updated: Nov 20 2025, 17:15 EST Next Release: --

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990.

Major Survey of Professional Forecasters Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 13 2026, 09:41 EST Next Release: --

The Texas Business-Cycle Index is published monthly and calculated using payroll employment, gross state product, and the unemployment rate.

Major Texas Business-Cycle Indexes Indicators

Last Updated: Mar 1 2026, 10:00 EST Next Release: --

The Texas Leading Index provides information on the future of Texas's economy. It is comprised of eight leading indicators which tend to change direction before the overall economy. These indicators include the Texas value of the dollar, the US leading index, real oil price, well permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance, the Texas stock index, help-wanted index, and the average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Texas Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Texas Leading Index Dec 2025 125.67 0.03%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average 2025 125.73 -1.01%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average YoY 2025 -1.01% --
Texas Leading Index Change from Previous Year 2025 0.32% Chg Yr --
Last Updated: Feb 1 2026, 10:04 EST Next Release: Apr 1 2026, 10:00 EDT

US Recession Probabilities (Chauvet and Piger) are the smoothed probabilities of a recession in the US. They are calculated from a dynamic-factor Markov-switching model on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production index, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Dec 2025 0.80% 29.03%
Last Updated: Feb 5 2026, 11:02 EST Next Release: --

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Jan 2027 18.78% -7.78%
Last Updated: Feb 26 2026, 11:35 EST Next Release: Mar 5 2026, 11:30 EST

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Weekly Economic Index Feb 21 2026 2.65 -8.30%
Last Updated: Feb 20 2026, 09:26 EST Next Release: --

The World Economic Outlook from the IMF contains data concerning the debt, lending and borrowing of major nations around the world.

Major World Economic Outlook Indicators

Last Updated: Feb 17 2026, 05:53 EST Next Release: Mar 17 2026, 06:00 EDT

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. It is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic for the German economy in six months.

Major ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany Feb 2026 58.30 -2.18%

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