Economic activity indexes are indexes which attempt to provide an overall look at the state of the economy.

Last Updated: Sep 11 2025, 10:06 EDT Next Release: Dec 12 2025, 10:00 EST

The Business Formation Statistics provide timely and high frequency information on new business applications and formations in the United States.

Major Business Formation Statistics Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 27 2025, 08:31 EST Next Release: Feb 26 2026, 08:30 EST

The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account.

Major Canada Balance of International Payments Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Canada Balance of Taxes Q3 2025 3.91B CAD 25.44%
Canada Balance on Commercial Services Q3 2025 2.523B CAD 30.25%
Canada Balance on Compensation of Employees Q3 2025 -3.845B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods Q3 2025 -11.10B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods and Services Q3 2025 -10.56B CAD --
Canada Balance on Government Services Q3 2025 -76.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Investment Income Q3 2025 7.02B CAD 68.43%
Canada Balance on Primary Income Q3 2025 3.175B CAD 1.32K%
Canada Balance on Services Q3 2025 540.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Transportation Q3 2025 -4.232B CAD --
Canada Balance on Travel Q3 2025 2.325B CAD 5.49%
Canada Current Account Balance Q3 2025 -9.68B CAD --
Last Updated: Sep 22 2025, 08:35 EDT Next Release: Dec 22 2025, 08:30 EST

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Major Chicago Fed National Activity Report Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 24 2025, 10:00 EST Next Release: Dec 22 2025, 10:00 EST

The Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions (CFSEC) is a survey of organizations located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District, which is served by the Chicago Fed. The Chicago Fed produces diffusion indexes based on the quantitative questions in the survey.

Major Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Dec 5 2025, 00:01 EST Next Release: Dec 24 2025, 00:00 EST (R)

The Index of Business Conditions are summary measures for aggregate economic activity. They are designed to be a useful tool for analyzing current conditions, and for forecasting future economic conditions.

Major ESRI Index of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 27 2025, 10:03 EST Next Release: Dec 19 2025, 10:00 EST

The European Economic Sentiment Indicator is a part of the business and consumer surveys conducted by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs for different sectors of the economies in the European Union and in the applicant countries.

Major European Economic Sentiment Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Belgium Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 95.10 -0.31%
Czech Republic Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 99.60 -3.30%
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Indicator Nov 2025 -14.20 --
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 97.00 0.21%
Eurozone Industry Confidence Indicator Nov 2025 -9.30 --
France Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 95.40 0.85%
Germany Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 91.30 -0.33%
Greece Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 106.00 -1.40%
Italy Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 101.80 1.09%
Netherlands Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 100.00 -0.30%
Poland Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 99.00 0.51%
Portugal Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 106.50 1.91%
Spain Economic Sentiment Indicator Nov 2025 105.90 1.92%
Last Updated: Nov 6 2025, 06:02 EST Next Release: --

The OECD system of composite leading indicators was developed in the 1970’s to give early signals of turning points of economic activity. This information is of prime importance for economists, businesses and policy makers to enable timely analysis of the current and short-term economic situation.

Major OECD Composite Leading Indicators Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Composite Leading Indicator: Canada Oct 2025 101.35 0.21%
Composite Leading Indicator: China Oct 2025 99.59 0.07%
Composite Leading Indicator: France Oct 2025 101.05 0.30%
Composite Leading Indicator: G20 Oct 2025 100.43 0.08%
Composite Leading Indicator: Germany Oct 2025 101.14 0.10%
Composite Leading Indicator: Italy Oct 2025 101.08 0.23%
Composite Leading Indicator: Japan Oct 2025 100.25 0.12%
Composite Leading Indicator: Spain Oct 2025 100.77 0.25%
Composite Leading Indicator: United Kingdom Oct 2025 101.44 0.03%
Composite Leading Indicator: United States Oct 2025 100.30 0.00%
Last Updated: Nov 30 2025, 18:20 EST Next Release: --

The Office of Economic Analysis provides objective forecasts of the state's economy, revenue, population, corrections population, and Youth Authority population. These forecasts are used by the Governor, the Legislature, state agencies, and the public to achieve their goals.

Major Oregon Economic Forecast Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Oregon Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2035 121.04K USD 0.96%
Oregon Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2035 124.50K 0.30%
Oregon Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 120.32K -0.24%
Oregon Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 384.59K 0.09%
Oregon Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 26.22K -0.01%
Oregon Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 102.98K 0.01%
Oregon Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 322.60K 0.06%
Oregon Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2035 21.62K 0.35%
Oregon Information Employment Forecast Q4 2035 36.09K -0.66%
Oregon Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 177.93K 0.02%
Oregon Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 54.63K -0.07%
Oregon Personal Income Forecast Q4 2035 531.38B USD 1.05%
Oregon Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 1.815M 0.12%
Oregon Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 304.89K 0.22%
Oregon Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 2.137M 0.11%
Oregon Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 368.30K 0.09%
US Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2035 122.85K USD 0.99%
US Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2035 9.283M 0.25%
US Consumer Price Index Forecast Q4 2035 412.82 0.58%
US Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 6.731M -0.35%
US Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 30.14M 0.02%
US Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 2.755M 0.00%
US Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 9.519M -0.06%
US GDP Deflator Forecast Q4 2035 164.30 0.57%
US Government Employment Forecast Q4 2035 24.18M 0.06%
US Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2035 1.248M -0.60%
US Industrial Production Forecast Q4 2035 108.99 0.18%
US Information Employment Forecast Q4 2035 2.797M -0.37%
US Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 11.26M -0.29%
US Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2035 4.525M -0.21%
US Personal Income Deflator Forecast Q4 2035 159.20 0.52%
US Personal Income Forecast Q4 2035 42.16T USD 1.10%
US Prime Rate Forecast Q4 2035 6.25% 0.00%
US Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 140.55M 0.06%
US Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2035 25.73M 0.54%
US Real GDP Forecast Q4 2035 28.69T USD 0.50%
US Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2035 164.73M 0.06%
US Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2035 28.11M -0.20%
Last Updated: Sep 24 2025, 10:05 EDT Next Release: Dec 31 2025, 10:00 EST

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states. The Bank issues a release each month describing recent trends in the state indexes, with special coverage of the three states in the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Coincident Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Coincident Index Aug 2025 141.35 -0.51%
Philly Fed New Jersey Coincident Index Aug 2025 142.56 0.01%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Coincident Index Aug 2025 135.58 0.19%
Philly Fed US Coincident Index Aug 2025 147.92 0.10%
Last Updated: Apr 14 2020, 10:01 EDT Next Release: Dec 31 2025, 10:00 EST

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces leading indexes monthly and are usually released a week after the release of the coincident indexes. The Bank issues a release each month describing the current and future economic situation of the 50 states with special coverage of the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Leading Index Feb 2020 1.91% 37.92%
Philly Fed New Jersey Leading Index Feb 2020 1.19% -4.77%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Leading Index Feb 2020 0.90% 44.66%
Philly Fed US Leading Index Feb 2020 1.72% 9.25%
Last Updated: Nov 25 2025, 08:30 EST Next Release: --

The Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (NBOS) is a monthly survey of nonmanufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Participants indicate the direction of change in overall business activity and in the various measures of activity at their firms, including new orders, sales or revenues, employment, prices, and capital expenditures. Respondents also provide their assessments of general business conditions over the next six months.

Major Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey Indicators

Last Updated: Dec 5 2025, 10:04 EST Next Release: --

Major Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Sep 2025 0.23% 76.92%
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Sep 2025 0.23% 76.92%
Last Updated: Nov 11 2025, 10:11 EST Next Release: Dec 9 2025, 10:00 EST

NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

Major Small Business Optimism Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Small Business Optimism Index Oct 2025 98.20 -0.61%
Small Business Outlook: Business Conditions Oct 2025 20.00% -13.04%
Small Business Outlook: Expansion Oct 2025 13.00% 18.18%
Small Business Uncertainty Index Oct 2025 88.00 -12.00%
Last Updated: Nov 20 2025, 17:15 EST Next Release: --

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990.

Major Survey of Professional Forecasters Indicators

Last Updated: Oct 17 2025, 10:02 EDT Next Release: --

The Texas Business-Cycle Index is published monthly and calculated using payroll employment, gross state product, and the unemployment rate.

Major Texas Business-Cycle Indexes Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Austin-Round Rock, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 933.60 -0.04%
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 373.37 0.19%
Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 705.48 -0.18%
El Paso, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 382.05 -0.11%
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 515.60 -0.04%
Houston-Sugar Land, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 356.22 -0.37%
Laredo, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 371.40 -0.22%
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 344.38 -1.52%
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 454.45 0.15%
Texas Business-Cycle Index Aug 2025 470.86 0.25%
Last Updated: Oct 1 2025, 10:04 EDT Next Release: --

The Texas Leading Index provides information on the future of Texas's economy. It is comprised of eight leading indicators which tend to change direction before the overall economy. These indicators include the Texas value of the dollar, the US leading index, real oil price, well permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance, the Texas stock index, help-wanted index, and the average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Texas Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Texas Leading Index Aug 2025 125.89 -0.49%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average 2024 127.01 -1.29%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average YoY 2024 -1.29% --
Texas Leading Index Change from Previous Year 2024 -1.52% Chg Yr --
Last Updated: Oct 1 2025, 12:49 EDT Next Release: Jan 1 2026, 10:00 EST

US Recession Probabilities (Chauvet and Piger) are the smoothed probabilities of a recession in the US. They are calculated from a dynamic-factor Markov-switching model on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production index, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Aug 2025 0.96% 50.00%
Last Updated: Dec 5 2025, 11:00 EST Next Release: --

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Nov 2026 25.05% -5.50%
Last Updated: Dec 4 2025, 11:36 EST Next Release: Dec 11 2025, 11:30 EST

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Weekly Economic Index Nov 29 2025 2.33 6.88%
Last Updated: Oct 14 2025, 11:00 EDT Next Release: --

The World Economic Outlook from the IMF contains data concerning the debt, lending and borrowing of major nations around the world.

Major World Economic Outlook Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 11 2025, 05:54 EST Next Release: Dec 16 2025, 05:00 EST

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. It is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic for the German economy in six months.

Major ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany Nov 2025 38.50 -2.04%

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