Economic activity indexes are indexes which attempt to provide an overall look at the state of the economy.

Last Updated: Nov 14 2024, 10:04 EST Next Release: Dec 11 2024, 10:00 EST

The Business Formation Statistics provide timely and high frequency information on new business applications and formations in the United States.

Major Business Formation Statistics Indicators

Last Updated: Aug 29 2024, 08:33 EDT Next Release: Nov 28 2024, 08:30 EST

The balance of international payments covers all economic transactions between Canadian residents and non-residents in three accounts: the current account, the capital account and the financial account.

Major Canada Balance of International Payments Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Canada Balance of Taxes Q2 2024 3.883B CAD 4.58%
Canada Balance on Commercial Services Q2 2024 2.413B CAD 84.48%
Canada Balance on Compensation of Employees Q2 2024 -1.704B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods Q2 2024 -2.187B CAD --
Canada Balance on Goods and Services Q2 2024 -5.409B CAD --
Canada Balance on Government Services Q2 2024 -86.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Investment Income Q2 2024 -628.00M CAD --
Canada Balance on Primary Income Q2 2024 -2.332B CAD --
Canada Balance on Services Q2 2024 -3.222B CAD --
Canada Balance on Transportation Q2 2024 -4.095B CAD --
Canada Balance on Travel Q2 2024 -1.455B CAD --
Canada Current Account Balance Q2 2024 -8.477B CAD --
Last Updated: Oct 24 2024, 08:40 EDT Next Release: Nov 25 2024, 08:30 EST

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Major Chicago Fed National Activity Report Indicators

Last Updated: Oct 22 2024, 10:00 EDT Next Release: Nov 22 2024, 10:00 EST

The Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions (CFSEC) is a survey of organizations located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District, which is served by the Chicago Fed. The Chicago Fed produces diffusion indexes based on the quantitative questions in the survey.

Major Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 8 2024, 00:02 EST Next Release: Nov 25 2024, 00:00 EST (R)

The Index of Business Conditions are summary measures for aggregate economic activity. They are designed to be a useful tool for analyzing current conditions, and for forecasting future economic conditions.

Major ESRI Index of Business Conditions Indicators

Last Updated: Oct 30 2024, 11:04 EDT Next Release: Nov 28 2024, 10:00 EST

The European Economic Sentiment Indicator is a part of the business and consumer surveys conducted by the Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs for different sectors of the economies in the European Union and in the applicant countries.

Major European Economic Sentiment Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Belgium Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 92.60 1.87%
Czech Republic Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 93.70 -4.00%
Eurozone Consumer Confidence Indicator Oct 2024 -12.50 --
Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 95.60 -0.73%
Eurozone Industry Confidence Indicator Oct 2024 -13.00 --
France Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 93.60 -4.78%
Germany Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 90.20 0.89%
Greece Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 107.00 -2.90%
Italy Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 99.50 -0.50%
Netherlands Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 98.70 -2.28%
Poland Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 98.40 -3.53%
Portugal Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 105.90 1.63%
Spain Economic Sentiment Indicator Oct 2024 102.40 -4.48%
Last Updated: Nov 7 2024, 06:13 EST Next Release: --

The OECD system of composite leading indicators was developed in the 1970’s to give early signals of turning points of economic activity. This information is of prime importance for economists, businesses and policy makers to enable timely analysis of the current and short-term economic situation.

Major OECD Composite Leading Indicators Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Composite Leading Indicator: Canada Oct 2024 100.16 0.25%
Composite Leading Indicator: China Oct 2024 99.53 -0.00%
Composite Leading Indicator: France Oct 2024 99.23 0.01%
Composite Leading Indicator: G20 Oct 2024 100.19 0.06%
Composite Leading Indicator: Germany Oct 2024 100.27 0.02%
Composite Leading Indicator: Italy Oct 2024 100.10 0.16%
Composite Leading Indicator: Japan Oct 2024 100.09 0.01%
Composite Leading Indicator: Spain Oct 2024 99.83 0.13%
Composite Leading Indicator: United Kingdom Oct 2024 101.71 -0.11%
Composite Leading Indicator: United States Oct 2024 100.25 0.12%
Last Updated: Sep 22 2024, 10:35 EDT Next Release: --

The Office of Economic Analysis provides objective forecasts of the state's economy, revenue, population, corrections population, and Youth Authority population. These forecasts are used by the Governor, the Legislature, state agencies, and the public to achieve their goals.

Major Oregon Economic Forecast Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Oregon Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2034 112.88K USD 0.99%
Oregon Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2033 134.86K 0.28%
Oregon Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2033 126.50K -0.17%
Oregon Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2033 361.43K 0.12%
Oregon Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2033 29.23K -0.01%
Oregon Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2033 103.61K 0.04%
Oregon Government Employment Forecast Q4 2033 312.05K 0.00%
Oregon Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2034 20.69K 0.09%
Oregon Information Employment Forecast Q4 2033 37.86K 0.07%
Oregon Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2033 184.77K -0.11%
Oregon Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2033 58.27K 0.03%
Oregon Personal Income Forecast Q4 2034 486.58B USD 1.07%
Oregon Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2033 1.805M 0.12%
Oregon Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2033 311.41K 0.35%
Oregon Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2033 2.117M 0.11%
Oregon Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2033 366.39K -0.05%
US Average Wage Rate Forecast Q4 2034 114.66K USD 0.98%
US Construction Employment Forecast Q4 2033 9.413M 0.09%
US Consumer Price Index Forecast Q4 2034 394.67 0.53%
US Durable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2033 7.017M -0.29%
US Educational and Health Services Employment Forecast Q4 2033 28.83M 0.23%
US Federal Government Employment Forecast Q4 2033 3.031M 0.00%
US Financial Activities Employment Forecast Q4 2033 9.470M -0.09%
US GDP Deflator Forecast Q4 2034 158.39 0.57%
US Government Employment Forecast Q4 2033 24.21M 0.07%
US Housing Starts Forecast Q4 2034 1.315M -0.30%
US Industrial Production Forecast Q4 2034 115.14 0.27%
US Information Employment Forecast Q4 2033 2.969M -0.35%
US Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2033 11.55M -0.25%
US Nondurable Manufacturing Employment Forecast Q4 2033 4.538M -0.17%
US Personal Income Deflator Forecast Q4 2034 152.19 0.49%
US Personal Income Forecast Q4 2034 38.16T USD 1.03%
US Prime Rate Forecast Q4 2034 5.75% -0.01%
US Private Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2033 139.92M 0.07%
US Professional and Business Services Employment Forecast Q4 2033 25.72M 0.37%
US Real GDP Forecast Q4 2034 27.45T USD 0.45%
US Total Nonfarm Employment Forecast Q4 2033 164.12M 0.07%
US Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment Forecast Q4 2033 27.99M -0.07%
Last Updated: Oct 25 2024, 10:04 EDT Next Release: Nov 22 2024, 10:00 EST

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces a monthly coincident index for each of the 50 states. The Bank issues a release each month describing recent trends in the state indexes, with special coverage of the three states in the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Coincident Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Coincident Index Sep 2024 139.27 0.06%
Philly Fed New Jersey Coincident Index Sep 2024 140.13 0.40%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Coincident Index Sep 2024 133.32 0.16%
Philly Fed US Coincident Index Sep 2024 145.36 0.29%
Last Updated: Apr 14 2020, 10:01 EDT Next Release: Nov 22 2024, 10:00 EST

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia produces leading indexes monthly and are usually released a week after the release of the coincident indexes. The Bank issues a release each month describing the current and future economic situation of the 50 states with special coverage of the Third District: Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware.

Major Philly Fed Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Philly Fed Delaware Leading Index Feb 2020 1.91% 37.92%
Philly Fed New Jersey Leading Index Feb 2020 1.19% -4.77%
Philly Fed Pennsylvania Leading Index Feb 2020 0.90% 44.66%
Philly Fed US Leading Index Feb 2020 1.72% 9.25%
Last Updated: Oct 22 2024, 08:32 EDT Next Release: Nov 26 2024, 08:30 EST

The Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey (NBOS) is a monthly survey of nonmanufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District. Participants indicate the direction of change in overall business activity and in the various measures of activity at their firms, including new orders, sales or revenues, employment, prices, and capital expenditures. Respondents also provide their assessments of general business conditions over the next six months.

Major Philly Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 1 2024, 10:06 EDT Next Release: Dec 6 2024, 10:00 EST

Major Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Oct 2024 0.43% -14.00%
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator Oct 2024 0.43% -14.00%
Last Updated: Nov 12 2024, 10:07 EST Next Release: Dec 10 2024, 10:00 EST

NFIB Research Center has collected Small Business Economic Trends Data with Quarterly surveys since 1973 and monthly surveys since 1986. The sample is drawn from the membership files of the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB).

Major Small Business Optimism Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Small Business Optimism Index Oct 2024 93.70 2.40%
Small Business Outlook: Business Conditions Oct 2024 -5.00% --
Small Business Outlook: Expansion Oct 2024 6.00% 50.00%
Small Business Uncertainty Index Oct 2024 110.00 6.80%
Last Updated: Nov 15 2024, 10:49 EST Next Release: Feb 14 2025, 10:00 EST

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990.

Major Survey of Professional Forecasters Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 15 2024, 10:02 EST Next Release: --

The Texas Business-Cycle Index is published monthly and calculated using payroll employment, gross state product, and the unemployment rate.

Major Texas Business-Cycle Indexes Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 1 2024, 10:06 EDT Next Release: --

The Texas Leading Index provides information on the future of Texas's economy. It is comprised of eight leading indicators which tend to change direction before the overall economy. These indicators include the Texas value of the dollar, the US leading index, real oil price, well permits, initial claims for unemployment insurance, the Texas stock index, help-wanted index, and the average weekly hours worked in manufacturing.

Major Texas Leading Index Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
Texas Leading Index Sep 2024 126.87 0.55%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average 2023 128.67 -4.49%
Texas Leading Index Annual Average YoY 2023 -4.49% --
Texas Leading Index Change from Previous Year 2023 -2.42% Chg Yr --
Last Updated: Nov 1 2024, 10:06 EDT Next Release: Dec 1 2024, 10:00 EST

US Recession Probabilities (Chauvet and Piger) are the smoothed probabilities of a recession in the US. They are calculated from a dynamic-factor Markov-switching model on non-farm payroll employment, industrial production index, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Chauvet and Piger Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Sep 2024 1.02% 131.8%
Last Updated: Oct 5 2024, 11:00 EDT Next Release: --

US Recession Probabilities (Estrella and Mishkin) is predicted twelve months ahead through a model which uses the difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury rates.

Major US Recession Probabilities - Estrella and Mishkin Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Recession Probability Sep 2025 57.06% -7.66%
Last Updated: Nov 14 2024, 11:33 EST Next Release: Nov 21 2024, 11:30 EST

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) provides a signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on data available at a daily or weekly frequency. It represents the common component of ten different daily and weekly series covering consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

Major Weekly Economic Index (WEI) Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
US Weekly Economic Index Nov 09 2024 1.82 10.30%
Last Updated: Oct 23 2024, 10:48 EDT Next Release: --

The World Economic Outlook from the IMF contains data concerning the debt, lending and borrowing of major nations around the world.

Major World Economic Outlook Indicators

Last Updated: Nov 12 2024, 05:07 EST Next Release: Dec 17 2024, 05:00 EST

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. It is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic for the German economy in six months.

Major ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment Indicators

Indicator Period Value % CHG PREV
ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany Nov 2024 7.40 -43.51%

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